Which European league is hardest to predict? (52k matches)

Came across this study that looked at 52k matches with closing odds across 22 European leagues.

Main findings that stood out:

• Serie B is the hardest (favourites win only 44.8%)
• Ligue 2 close behind
• Primeira Liga most predictable (56.3%)
• Division level matters more than the country

Methodology seems solid; closing odds, decent sample size. curious what people here think.

I personally thought EPL was the harderst on, but data says otherwise. Does this match what you’ve observed watching these leagues?

Source: https://pythiafootball.com/research/hardest-league-to-predict/

submitted by /u/YiannisPits91
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